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According to a Post-ABC-Ipsos poll, most Democrats want Biden to drop out

According to a Post-ABC-Ipsos poll, most Democrats want Biden to drop out

According to a poll by the Washington Post, ABC News and Ipsos, most Democrats across the country believe President Biden should end his re-election campaign based on his performance in the presidential debate two weeks ago.

The poll results contradict Biden’s claim that only party elites want him to resign. He has said positive interactions with supporters on the campaign trail helped convince him to stay in the race after he rambled and occasionally appeared confused in a debate. But the poll shows 56 percent of Democrats say he should end his candidacy, while 42 percent say he should continue to seek reelection. Overall, two in three adults think the president should resign, including more than seven in 10 independents.

The poll shows Biden and former President Donald Trump neck and neck in the race for the majority of the vote, with both candidates receiving 46 percent support among registered voters. These numbers are nearly identical to the results of an ABC-Ipsos poll in April.

This result contradicts some other recent public polls. In eight other national post-debate polls tracked by the Post, Trump is ahead by an average of 3.5 percentage points, compared to a one-percent lead in the same polls before the debate. Biden was ahead of Trump by between nine and 11 percentage points in the average of public polls at this point in the campaign four years ago. He ultimately won by 4.5 percentage points.

The president and his campaign have spent the week trying to gain support from key Democratic constituencies, including the Congressional Black Caucus, labor leaders and key progressive lawmakers, but with limited success. On Wednesday evening, 13 Democrats in the House and Senate called on Biden to withdraw, but one of them, Representative Jerry Nadler (DN.Y.), has since softened his stance.

Also Wednesday, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) urged Biden to make a decision on whether to drop out of the presidential race, a sign that she and other Democrats do not believe Biden’s statements insisting he will stay in the race have settled the situation. Output.

The poll shows how disturbed Democrats across the country were by what they experienced in the debate. Many Democrats fear that if Biden continues his candidacy, Trump could have an easier path to victory and that Republicans could end up with a majority in both the House and Senate, Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) said in an interview on CNN on Tuesday night.

The poll shows that approval of Biden’s job has changed little: 57 percent disapprove, which is the same percentage as in an ABC-Ipsos poll in April. Among Democrats, 75 percent approve of Biden’s performance, while 22 percent disapprove, which has also changed little in recent months. Americans’ views of Trump and his performance as president have The mood has also hardly changed since the debate: 43 percent agreed, 52 percent rejected.

But last month’s debate, which most Americans say they watched or followed on the news, appears to have heightened concerns about Biden’s age and fitness for office. The share of Americans who say Biden is mentally fitter than Trump fell from 23 percent in April to 14 percent this month. The share who say Biden is physically healthier than Trump fell from 20 percent to 13 percent.

Trump has not made major gains on these questions; instead, more and more people say neither candidate has the sharpness or physical health to be president. Most Americans think both Biden and Trump are too old to serve another term as president, up from 53 percent in April to 58 percent. The share who think only Biden is too old is unchanged at 28 percent, as is the 2 percent who think only Trump is too old.

Overall, 85 percent say Biden is too old, while 60 percent say Trump is too old. In April, 81 percent said Biden was too old and 55 percent said Trump was too old.

Still, the new poll shows no change in voting intentions since the debate. In April, 46 percent of registered voters supported Biden and 45 percent supported Trump; now both are at 46 percent. Each candidate has strength within their party: 92 percent of Democratic voters said they would vote for Biden in a two-way race, and 93 percent of Republicans said they would support Trump. Among self-identified independents, the two are virtually tied, with Trump at 42 percent and Biden at 40 percent.

When third-party candidates are included, the gap between Biden and Trump does not change much: 42 percent support Biden and 43 percent support Trump. Another 9 percent of registered voters support Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 2 percent Cornel West and 2 percent Jill Stein.

There is still no agreement among Democrats on who should replace Biden if he resigns, but Vice President Harris enjoys far more support than other possible candidates.

In response to an open-ended question, 29 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents named Harris, while 7 percent named California Governor Gavin Newsom, 4 percent named Michelle Obama, and 3 percent each named Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Half did not name a specific person as an alternative to Biden.

In a separate question, 70 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said they would be “happy” if Harris replaced Biden as the party’s presidential nominee. That number rises to 85 percent among black Democrats, but large majorities of Democrats across all demographic groups also say they would be happy with Harris.

Harris faces more opposition from the broader electorate: 53 percent of Americans overall say they would be unhappy if Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic nominee, including 58 percent of political independents. Two-thirds of black Americans (67 percent) would be happy if Harris replaced Biden, compared with 51 percent of Hispanics and 38 percent of whites.

However, in a separate poll, the poll found that Harris received 49 percent and Trump 47 percent among registered voters. However, this two percentage point difference is not statistically significant. There are also no major differences between Harris’ and Biden’s coalition; almost all demographic groups are statistically tied for both Biden and Harris. One exception is voters who “somewhat disapprove” of Biden’s performance: 60 percent support Harris against Trump, compared to 50 percent who support Biden.

The Post-ABC Ipsos poll shows there is a sharp racial divide within Biden’s party over his candidacy: 63 percent of black Democrats say Biden should continue, while 59 percent of Hispanic Democrats and 64 percent of white Democrats say Biden should step down based on his debate performance. Democrats over 50 are roughly split on whether Biden should continue, while 6 in 10 younger Democrats say he should step down.

There is no ideological divide among Democrats on whether Biden should drop out of the race or continue running: 55 percent of liberal Democrats and 57 percent of moderate and conservative Democrats say the same.

At a rousing campaign rally the day after the debate, Biden said, “I may not walk as easily or speak as fluently as I once did,” but “what I do know is how to tell the truth.” He criticized Trump for lying during the debate and repeatedly making false claims.

The perception of honesty proves to be a clear advantage for Biden over Trump: 39 percent of Americans say Biden is more honest and trustworthy than Trump. 22 percent say Trump is more honest and trustworthy than Biden, and 39 percent say neither is honest.

According to the Post-ABC Ipsos poll, Biden has smaller advantages over Trump when it comes to which candidate “represents your personal values” and whether he will “protect American democracy.”

But Americans are nearly split on which candidate “understands the problems of people like you”: 34 percent say Biden is more empathetic, 32 percent say Trump, and 34 percent say neither is more empathetic. Four years ago, a Post-ABC telephone poll found Biden had a 17 percentage point lead on a similar question.

The poll shows that the CNN debate in Atlanta was a political debacle for Biden, but not a triumph for Trump. Only 7 percent of Americans say Biden won the debate, while 46 percent think Trump won and 45 percent say neither won or it was a tie. Half of Americans say the debate made their opinion of Biden “less positive,” while less than a quarter say that about Trump.

Half of all adults (50 percent) say Trump should resign because of his debate performance, while 47 percent say he should stay in the race. The big difference between Biden and Trump, however, is that nearly 9 in 10 Republicans still support Trump continuing to run, and a much larger majority of independents say Biden should resign than say that about the former president.

The Washington Post, ABC News and Ipsos poll was conducted July 5-9 among 2,431 American adults through the Ipsos KnowledgePanel, a polling panel recruited by random sampling of households across the country. The overall results have a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points; the margin of error is 3.5 points for the sample of 825 self-identified Democrats and three points for the sample of 1,255 Democrats and independent Democrats.